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Price Speculation on rs07 gp: What impact if any will deadman mode have?


NoahTheWeebWolf

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Hi everyone,

 

I have been thinking lately what will the future price of 07gp like.

With the winter holidays around the corner, it seems reasonable the demand for gp will soar and in turn prices(making it a good time to sell). However, there's another event over the horizon that concerns me in terms of the price of gp making me consider selling now and that's  the debut  of Dead man mode.

Here are some facts of what we know about dead man mode that we need to consider for this analysis.

1. Lots of people like pvp and the wilderness tends to remain not as active as ideal(unless I am mistaken). This creates an unsatisfied demand which deadman mode seeks to satisfy. Even darkscape does this but deadman mode is more similar to rs07 so this will get many people who want play under the same engine of rs07 to convert over(where they might not have wth darkscape).

2. About 25% of the community didn't want grand exchange and with no grand exchange in dead man mode, this may interest current players who remained playing despite voting no to GE, and in turn they make the jump over. There may be people who gave up on rs07 entirely at one point or another and may return to deadman mode.

What am I getting at exactly? If there's an influx of players switching over from rs07 to dead man mode, and they decide to sell all their rs07 gp to either save up for dead man mode gp(if viable to sell like dark scape) or might just pocket the cash and switch over to dead man  mode regardless; then there's going to be a surplus of 07gp floating around the market with not as many buyers as before.

Why does this present a problem for prices? I am sure you're familiar with the basic principles of economics supply and demand. If there's too much supply and not enough or less demand than prices will be driven down(which may be the case with 07gp for a short while when dead man mode comes out). On the other hand, if demand exceeds supply than prices will soar(look at 07gp when it first came out at around $5-3.50 per mil and Dark scape $10 per mil and soon dead man mode's prices).

What do you all think? Will rs07 gp drop due to dead man mode? If so how much? Now of course, this is no guarantee it'll drop since this is all speculation It may even go up due to other factors(like say a bot ban wave) highly doubt it'd be due to the impact dead man mode will have. It may lower even further if another duplication glitch happens, but we don't know if that'll happen anytime soon since they usually happen randomly.

 

TL:DR:If too many people sell their rs07gp and go to deadman mode there's a good chance rs07gp prices will drop.

 

Let the discussion begin =).

Edited by NoahTheWisewolf
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Pretty much what I suspected though id prefer more thoughts on the matter and reasoning then just simply stating what will happen.

It will hurt the gold trading community, if the prices drop low enough. So its basically better to sell all the gold before the deadman mode and buy the 07 gp after it to make profit, or buy Deadman gp instead after selling all 07 gp. 

 

 

add a TL:DR for those lazy fucks who don't want to read.

Edited by Viliuks
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It will hurt the gold trading community, if the prices drop low enough. So its basically better to sell all the gold before the deadman mode and buy the 07 gp after it to make profit, or buy Deadman gp instead after selling all 07 gp. 

 

 

add a TL:DR for those lazy fucks who don't want to read.

Well said, I am probably going to sell my 07gp now and might even get into the market as a regular seller(buying at discount like 1.2 instead 1.4 of course given my reputation which is what I already do and then resell for like 1.4). 

 

If deadman mode becomes bottable and conditions remain favorable id love to start botting that.

 

sorry.... I just like to write a lot and go into detail.

 

Will add that now >.>

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I don't think there will be any impact at all. It's 2 different game modes. I also can't see any players swapping over to deadman mode at all. In my opinion, it's completely unplayable for casual players. Nearly all progress is lost on death. It's like a private server honestly. 

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with point 2 you made, i dont think the g.e is a large enough factor to cause people to switch to an entirely different type of gameplay, i cant see there will be a strong correlation of anti-g.e players in deadman mode. Alot of people initially will focus on deadman mode, becaues it's llike day1 of RS again and try get on the leaderboards, but i think it'll die down a bit over time.

 

In regards to the gp prices, i think they'll fall a little, mainly because people will be spending more on deadman mode initially, but i think the people that switch to deadman will still play 07, like as an alt and play both games simultaneously.

 

You also need to take into the account of the players that will move over to deadman mode simply to gather gold at the high prices, and swap them for 07 gold, so i think the demand for 07  will remain, but maybe slightly lower at the current rate.

 

With that being said, as people will focus on deadman mode also, we may find that some of the smaller suppliers (goldfarmers etc) of 07gp may stop and focus on deadman mode, cutting suppply a little and resulting in gp prices being marginally unaffected?

 

All speculation to be fair, we'll just have to see!

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I don't think it'll have that much of an impact. Maybe the very first month or two, possibly when people are playing it, but it's just not a long term game for casual players like Jackshow said. Where the fuck did they pull this lose 50% total XP, and you can loot their bank bullshit? That's so stupid. So many people are going to rage quit and go back to 07. I'd be interested if they dropped those two things, then it'd be a sick game. Pretty much exactly like Darkscape, but 07 style. 

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Trust me as soon as Deadman mode comes out, 50% of the regular community, 99% of the pking community will play it. OSRS pking is starting to get boring and the thought of a fresh start, a new old school runescape, new stats, new everything, excites people for that old Nostalgia feel that they have surely now, but to start over again just sounds great. And with no  G.E., the game will be much more fun people advertising in banks selling, that is the kind of thing people love and adore so much. 


 


However, as deadman mode is the way it is, there will be a low influx of pures, as they cannot keep up with the defense... and a lot of the RS PvP community are pures due to the questing of RFD, etc being too much for them, (lazy cunts) so all we can do is wait and see. This is just my 5 cents and is a great topic to discuss on.


 


 


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